Betting: UFC 231 Predictions

It is nearly time for the fights and we have last minute predictions to help you beat the bookies.

Max Holloway vs Brian Ortega

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This fight was originally scheduled for UFC 226, a whole five months ago, however due to extremely concerning health risks for Holloway, he was pulled from the fight, which itself was ultimately scrapped when an opponent was not found to face Ortega.

While this itself on paper may seem like a traditional and cliche “Striker vs Grappler” matchup, but both fighters have so much more than that.

Holloway is a rangey striker with quick movement and a ferocious pace. He aims to get in and out of the pocket and land multiple punch combinations while taking little damage. He is also a very good grappler in his own right, scoring submission wins over Cub Swanson and Andre Fili. Submitting him will not be an easy task, even for someone of Ortega’s ability. Holloway will aim to use his range to stay out of any grappling exchanges and his pace to wear down Ortega.

Ortega is an incredibly gifted BJJ specialist with 4 of his 6 official UFC wins coming via submission. Ortega also possesses power which is an underrated aspect of his game. While he may not be the most technically gifted striker, he is still capable of putting guys away on the feet, which we saw with a brutal uppercut against Frankie Edgar, or his flying knee finish over Clay Guida with under 30 seconds left in the fight. His route to victory is simple. Look for the submission at all costs. He will be patient and wait for his opportunity like he did against Cub Swanson.

The biggest question over Max Holloway is whether he is fully fit after his long layoff and if previous weight cut issues will come into play. If they do, it could be a seriously bad night for him. That being said, I believe he will be fit. I believe he will have the striking, speed and footwork advantages in this fight as well the ability to keep a high pace for the entire fight. I believe he avoids the clinch and outboxes Ortega until he gets the win.

Official prediction: Max Holloway def. Brian Ortega via TKO (Round 4)

Valentina Shevchenko vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk

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Look, in my opinion, the odds in his fight are crazy – I certainly make ‘The Bullet” the favourite but I certainly do not believe that she should be as much as a -400 favourite.

While the size difference between the fighters may play a part, I don’t believe Joanna will be undersized by any means. Both are incredible strikers and will have moments in the fight. I believe this fight will remain on the feet for the vast majority of the contest and will simply come down to who will get their opponents respect more often.

While I believe that Joanna is as good of an MMA striker as Shevchenko, I feel that the power of Valentina will just be able to keep Joanna back. Whether the finish will come, that’s hard to tell but unless Joanna has the power to make Schevchenko think twice it could be a bad night.

Joanna needs to be on her A+ game and make essentially no mistakes. She needs to put on a master class. Valentina will have the grappling advantage also and may look for a takedown, but as mentioned I think that she may have a decent power advantage and will look to back up Joanna and land combinations on her way to a unanimous decision victory.

Official prediction: Valentina Shevchenko def. Joanna Jedrzejczyk via DEC

Other main card picks:

  • Gunnar Nelson def Charles Oliveria via TKO (Round 3)
  • Hakeem Dawodu def. Kyle Bochniak via TKO (Round 2).
  • Thiago Santos def. Jimi Manuwa via TKO (Round 2).

Fox Sports 1 Prelims

  • Claudia Gadelha def. Nina Ansaroff via SUB (Round 2)
  • Olivier Aubin-Mercier def. Gilbert Burns via SUB (Round 3)
  • Kaitlyn Chookogian def. Jessica Eye via. decision
  • Elias Theodorou def. Eryk Anders via decision.

Fight Pass Prelims

  • Brad Katona def. Matt Lopez via decision.
  • Chad Laprise def. Dhiego Lima via decision.
  • Carlos Diego Ferreira def. Kyle Nelson via SUB (Round 2).
  • Aleksander Rakic def. Devin Clarke via TKO (Round 3)

 

 

News: Amir sends epic response to Cleiton Silva ahead of Brave CF 11

Things are certainly heating up ahead of the Brave 11, in Belo Horizonte, Brazil on April 13th. In a proverbial clash of prospects, SBG standout Ahmed Amir  (8-1-0) will be attempting to push on with his seven fight win streak by imposing his will against hard-hitter Cleiton Silva (12-2-0).

However Silva, who will be debuting for the promotion, has recently sent a message advising Amir of his intentions when they stand toe to toe:

“Every opponent has strengths and weaknesses. I feel good going into this fight and I expect the best. There is no easy fight, but I am not going in there to make it nice, I am going to run through him. My message to Amir is – you have never faced The Predator. I will go in there to hunt and take the head off the Butcher. I am taking your head off. You are done”

Amir has now responded, giving an insight in to how much pride and professionalism is on his shoulders whilst representing Egypt:

“I am focused on my training and martial arts is about respect. In Brazil, I will represent not just Egypt but the fighting heritage and pride of every Arab fighter. It is a responsibility and I will be victorious. Regarding the comments of my opponent, it was weird and didn’t make any sense. How can a person run through other people? This has nothing to do with MMA. May be he meant to say that he will run away from me. In the history of Mixed Martial Arts, nobody had taken the head off an opponent in the cage. I have no idea what is wrong with my opponent.”

The fight is certainly shaping to be a fun one. Cleiton has more fight experience than Amir and has won twelve of his fourteen fights. The 32-year-old Brazilian is looking for a strong return from a loss that ended his eight fight winning streak. Also the strong ground game of Clieton has enabled him to never be submitted in his entire fight career.

However, Amir has looked outstanding in his last bouts, taking a close decision (and fight of the night) against Erik Carlsson which subsequently gained the attention of SBG legend John Kavanagh. Amir is now in Ireland and having a full camp at SBG, who have produced stars such as Conor McGregor and UFC welterweight challenger Gunnar Nelson.

Breaking News: Nelson vs Magny to be confirmed for UFC Liverpool

After months of speculation over his next opponent, it seems Gunnar “Gunni” Nelson has finally found someone willing and able to face him in the octagon.

Nelson (16-3-1) is set to face off with Neil Magny (20-6-0) at UFC Liverpool on May 27th. The news that the fight was in the works was first reported on Twitter earlier today by Farah Hannoun.

A source close to the situation has since confirmed to MMAMotion that contracts have been signed by both fighters with the fight set to take place in Liverpool.

With home town hero Darren Till expected to face Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson in the main event, Nelson vs Magny would appear tailor made for the co-main event slot.

Nelson hasn’t fought since being on the receiving end of a controversial eye poke which led to a KO loss to Santiago Ponzinibbio in July last year. There were rumours of Nelson facing Till at UFC London earlier this month but illness prevented Till from being able to accept the fight. These rumours were rekindled when the UFC announced they were travelling to Dublin in May with Nelsons coach John Kavanagh pressing for the fight on social media. Now that the event has relocated to Liverpool and Till seems to  be on the brink of confirming a fight with Wonderboy, Nelson and his team have moved on and have found a willing opponent in Magny.

30-year-old Magny’s last outing was at UFC 219 where he earned a unanimous decision victory over veteran welterweight Carlos Condit. A veteran of eighteen UFC appearances, this will be the number nine ranked welterweight’s first time fighting in the United Kingdom.

UFC Liverpool will take place on Sunday May 27th at the Echo Arena. The fight card as things stand is as follows;

  • Darren Till vs Stephen Thompson (tba)
  • Gunnar Nelson vs Neil Magny (tba)
  • Tom Breese vs. Daniel Kelly
  • Trevor Smith vs. Elias Theodorou
  • Eric Spicely vs. Darren Stewart
  • Lina Lansberg vs Gina Mazny