Betting: UFC 231 Predictions

It is nearly time for the fights and we have last minute predictions to help you beat the bookies.

Max Holloway vs Brian Ortega

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This fight was originally scheduled for UFC 226, a whole five months ago, however due to extremely concerning health risks for Holloway, he was pulled from the fight, which itself was ultimately scrapped when an opponent was not found to face Ortega.

While this itself on paper may seem like a traditional and cliche “Striker vs Grappler” matchup, but both fighters have so much more than that.

Holloway is a rangey striker with quick movement and a ferocious pace. He aims to get in and out of the pocket and land multiple punch combinations while taking little damage. He is also a very good grappler in his own right, scoring submission wins over Cub Swanson and Andre Fili. Submitting him will not be an easy task, even for someone of Ortega’s ability. Holloway will aim to use his range to stay out of any grappling exchanges and his pace to wear down Ortega.

Ortega is an incredibly gifted BJJ specialist with 4 of his 6 official UFC wins coming via submission. Ortega also possesses power which is an underrated aspect of his game. While he may not be the most technically gifted striker, he is still capable of putting guys away on the feet, which we saw with a brutal uppercut against Frankie Edgar, or his flying knee finish over Clay Guida with under 30 seconds left in the fight. His route to victory is simple. Look for the submission at all costs. He will be patient and wait for his opportunity like he did against Cub Swanson.

The biggest question over Max Holloway is whether he is fully fit after his long layoff and if previous weight cut issues will come into play. If they do, it could be a seriously bad night for him. That being said, I believe he will be fit. I believe he will have the striking, speed and footwork advantages in this fight as well the ability to keep a high pace for the entire fight. I believe he avoids the clinch and outboxes Ortega until he gets the win.

Official prediction: Max Holloway def. Brian Ortega via TKO (Round 4)

Valentina Shevchenko vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk

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Look, in my opinion, the odds in his fight are crazy – I certainly make ‘The Bullet” the favourite but I certainly do not believe that she should be as much as a -400 favourite.

While the size difference between the fighters may play a part, I don’t believe Joanna will be undersized by any means. Both are incredible strikers and will have moments in the fight. I believe this fight will remain on the feet for the vast majority of the contest and will simply come down to who will get their opponents respect more often.

While I believe that Joanna is as good of an MMA striker as Shevchenko, I feel that the power of Valentina will just be able to keep Joanna back. Whether the finish will come, that’s hard to tell but unless Joanna has the power to make Schevchenko think twice it could be a bad night.

Joanna needs to be on her A+ game and make essentially no mistakes. She needs to put on a master class. Valentina will have the grappling advantage also and may look for a takedown, but as mentioned I think that she may have a decent power advantage and will look to back up Joanna and land combinations on her way to a unanimous decision victory.

Official prediction: Valentina Shevchenko def. Joanna Jedrzejczyk via DEC

Other main card picks:

  • Gunnar Nelson def Charles Oliveria via TKO (Round 3)
  • Hakeem Dawodu def. Kyle Bochniak via TKO (Round 2).
  • Thiago Santos def. Jimi Manuwa via TKO (Round 2).

Fox Sports 1 Prelims

  • Claudia Gadelha def. Nina Ansaroff via SUB (Round 2)
  • Olivier Aubin-Mercier def. Gilbert Burns via SUB (Round 3)
  • Kaitlyn Chookogian def. Jessica Eye via. decision
  • Elias Theodorou def. Eryk Anders via decision.

Fight Pass Prelims

  • Brad Katona def. Matt Lopez via decision.
  • Chad Laprise def. Dhiego Lima via decision.
  • Carlos Diego Ferreira def. Kyle Nelson via SUB (Round 2).
  • Aleksander Rakic def. Devin Clarke via TKO (Round 3)

 

 

Live Results: UFC 231 – Holloway vs. Ortega

8th December 2018, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada – UFC 231 is set to go down and has been highly anticipated for the technical quality of the main card.

In the main event, featherweight champion Max Holloway (19-3 MMA, 15-3 UFC) will defend his featherweight title, as well as his 12 fight winning streak against unbeaten challenger Brian Ortega (14-0 MMA, 6-0 UFC). Holloway, who faced questions about whether he would make weight heading into the event, was 144.5 pounds. Ortega was a quarter-pound more at 144.75.

In the co-feature, Valentina Shevchenko (15-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC) takes on former women’s strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC) for the vacant women’s flyweight title. Shevchenko was well under at 1235.5 pounds, as was Jedrzejczyk at 123.75.

MMAMotion will be live on Twitter with all of the play-by-plays and the results will be updated below as they happen. Give us a follow and join the conversation.

MAIN CARD

  • Max Holloway def. Brian Ortega via Doctor’s Stoppage (Round 4)
  • Valentina Shevchenko def. Joanna Jedrzejczyk via Unanimous Decision (49-46 x3)
  • Gunnar Nelson def. Alex Oliveira via 2nd Round Submission (RNC)
  • Hakeem Dawodu vs. Kyle Bochniak via Split Decision (29-28 x2)
  • Thiago Santos def. Jimi Manuwa via 2nd Round KO

UNDERCARD

  • Nina Ansaroff def. Claudia Gadelha via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
  • Jessica Eye def. Katlyn Chookagian via Split Decision (29-28 x2)
  • Elias Theodorou def. Eryk Anders via (Split Decision 29-28 x2)
  •  Gilbert Burns def. Olivier Aubin-Mercier via Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
  • Aleksandar Rakic def. Devin Clark via Round 1 TKO
  • Brad Katona def. Matthew Lopez via Third Round Submission (RNC)
  • Dhiego Lima def. Chad Laprise via Round 1 KO
  • Diego Ferreira def. Kyle Nelson via Round 2 TKO

Opinion: Shevchenko vs. Jedrzejczyk – What Will Go Down?

Our first of two title fights this weekend at UFC 231 in Toronto, sees two of the most technical strikers in women’s mixed martial arts history clash for the vacant flyweight title as former professional Muay Thai foes, Valentina Shevchenko and Joanna Jedrzejczyk meet.

Shevchenko acts as the welcoming party for Joanna who makes her division return after two straight defeats to Rose Namajunas at strawweight and a decision win over Tecia Torres, while ‘Bullet’ Valentina made the drop to flyweight from bantamweight after a rematch loss to Amanda Nunes. Kyrgyzstan native Shevchenko was tipped to reign supreme at 125lbs and exacted a brutal first and second round beat down on Brazilian newcomer Priscila Cachoeira at the beginning of the year to earn an immediate title shot.

Despite this being the first time these women have clashed in mixed-martial arts competition, they are more than familiar with each other’s striking pedigree – Shevchenko picked up two decision victories over the Pole during they’re Muay Thai careers back in 2007.

A seamless transition to MMA displayed Valentina’s incredible striking and distance management to a wider audience and earmarked her as a potential world champion. Notable wins against the likes of former Bantamweight queen Holly Holm, top contender Julianna Pena and a one-sided victory over Cachoeira flaunted leaps in her grappling. The Judo black belt scored multiple takedowns over Holm and submitted both Pena and Priscila and landed her trademark counter right hand at will, something the more aggressive volume striker Jedrzejczyk must be wary of.

Before her first-round knockout defeat to ‘Thug’ Rose Namajunas back in 2017, Joanna was regarded as one of the most formidable forces in Octagon history. An undefeated 14-0 pressure fighter who had dispatched each and every one of her opponents with relative ease, this undefeated record led to some considerable bravado and almost a feeling of invincibility, something Namajunas exploited.

On paper, Joanna was expected to steamroll Rose but was dropped twice in the exchanges of a frantic paced first round and in a mere three minutes, her Strawweight throne was over. A redemption story followed a much more collected Jedrzejczyk into her rematch with ‘Thug’ Rose and despite a much-improved showing, she lost a close decision to Namajunas. An incensed Joanna was convinced she regained her crown and disagreed with the judge’s unanimous decision ruling. Tecia Torres was next in line for Jedrzejczyk and despite some cagey exchanges, Joanna scored a three round decision win.

Olsztyn native Jedrzejczyk has made the 125lbs limit before, amassing a 5-0 record at the weight and a return to Flyweight will more than likely benefit Joanna, with her well-documented struggle to meet the Strawweight limit leaving her compromised, although it would be hard to notice given her dominance over the division for such a long time.

Shevchenko is the better grappler in this one but Joanna has been tested before in wrestling exchanges and has come out on top. Joanna’s pace pushing, volume striking style could bare the key to Valentina’s success with her distance control and counter striking ability second to none. Expect a highly significant and total strike count come to the culmination of this one with Valentina landing quickest.

Valentina Shevchenko via unanimous decision. 

Breaking News: Flyweight title clash between Shevchenko and Eubanks to headline UFC 230

In what can only be described as a shocking turn of events, one of the UFC’S biggest cards of the year is set to be headlined by a flyweight title fight with Valentina Schevchenko taking on Sijara Eubanks for the vacant 125lb belt.

Continue reading “Breaking News: Flyweight title clash between Shevchenko and Eubanks to headline UFC 230”

Report: Joanna Jedrzejczyk will face Valentina Shevchenko for flyweight title

While Conor McGregor and Khabib Nurmagomedov deservedly took center stage in New York last night with the Irishman stealing the majority of the headlines, following the event Dana White dropped a bombshell, announcing the addition of a huge flyweight title contest to UFC 231.

Continue reading “Report: Joanna Jedrzejczyk will face Valentina Shevchenko for flyweight title”

Opinion: Who will face Valentina Shevchenko for the vacant UFC flyweight title?

As a result of Nicco Montaño’s weight cut related medical problems forcing the TUF winner to withdraw from her planed UFC 228 title defense against Valentina Shevchenko, the UFC flyweight division once again finds itself in search of a champion.

With Dana White confirming that number one contender Shevchenko is guaranteed a shot at the vacant 125lb gold, one question remains – who will the former bantamweight title challenger face for the belt?

There are a number of viable options open to White and the UFC. I’ve taken a look at the shortlist of potential suitors below.

Continue reading “Opinion: Who will face Valentina Shevchenko for the vacant UFC flyweight title?”

Report: Tatiana Suarez calls out Rose Namajunas after dominant UFC 228 victory

After an impressive TKO victory over the former strawweight champion, Carla Esparza, Suarez makes it clear she has her sights on gold. In her Octagon interview with Joe Rogan Suarez made a clear call out to the current women’s strawweight champion, Rose Namajunas. Continue reading “Report: Tatiana Suarez calls out Rose Namajunas after dominant UFC 228 victory”

Opinion: What next for Dustin Poirier and the other UFC Calgary main card winners?

The UFC rolled into Calgary on Saturday night looking to make amends for the somewhat infamous UFC 149, an event considered by many to be among the worst PPV events the UFC ever held. With three fights on the main card which could easily have headlined a FOX card on their own, nobody could accuse Dana White of not trying to make amends with the good people of Calgary.

Continue reading “Opinion: What next for Dustin Poirier and the other UFC Calgary main card winners?”

Opinion: Can Joanna avoid her third straight UFC loss?

Former UFC Women’s Strawweight queen Joanna Jędrzejczyk looks to recover from two consecutive losses to Rose Namajunas, as she takes on fellow top contender Tecia ‘Tiny Tornado’ Torres in the UFC’s huge return to Calgary.

Joanna, lost her title and undefeated record in dramatic fashion back at UFC 217, falling victim to a picture perfect ‘Thug’ Rose left hook, before tapping to strikes, forcing referee Big John McCarthy to bring a halt to the bout early in the first. Attempting to avenge her sole career upset, this time a cool, calm and composed Joanna went the distance with Robert Whittman trained Namajunas, losing a close decision to the youngster. A brash Joanna, has been a constant throughout her gold ridden career, but her dismantling, smothering Muay Thai style afforded to previous opponents, Claúdia Gadelha, Jéssica Andrade, Carla Esparza, Jessica Penne and compatriot Karolina Kowalkiewicz was a far cry from her initial performance against Milwaukee’s Namajunas.

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Having her equally impressive win streak snapped at the hands of the rejuvenated Jéssica Andrade, Triple Threat Gym product Tecia Torres was arguably one more victory away from a deserved title tilt. Amassing three straight victories over Bec Rawlings, the experienced Juliana Lima and the well traversed Michelle Waterson, an aggressive, pressure pushing Andrade proved too much for Torres at this stage in her career. Torres, notably holds a hugely impressive victory over current 115lbs champion Rose Namajunas and has also overcome former Invicta FC champ Angela Hill and recent upstart Felice Herrig.

Jedrzejczyk vs Torres scheduled for UFC on Fox 30

UFC on Fox 30 in Canada has gained another top fight now that former strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Tecia Torres have agreed to meet toe to toe in MMA’s greatest proving ground. It has not yet been confirmed, but it is believed this fight will take the main event spot and Jose Aldo vs Jeremy Stephens will occupy the co-main event of the evening. However, a fight between Eddie Alverez and Dustin Poirier could be booked which would knock each fight down a position on the card.

Jedrzejczyk is excited to return to the octagon after losing a close decision to the now strawweight champion Rose Namajunas, and although the former Polish title holder had expressed her desire to move up a weight class, Dana White has confirmed that this fight will take place at 115lbs.

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Credit to @bigg_creations

Tecia Torres will also be looking to return to winning ways after losing her previous fight to Jessica Andrade back in February. “The Tiny Tornado” was enjoying a three-fight win streak before losing to the Brazilian, and would very much like to continue the momentum with a win over arguably one of MMA’s most dominant former champions on her journey to the top of the UFC’s strawweight division.

It will be a fantastic fight for fans, with highly skilled stand-up fighting, as I very much doubt this fight will hit the canvass. Who will triumph on the night? will the tiny tornado cause an upset? or will the boogey woman return to winning ways?

Ryan Cambridge